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Military capability is not a problem: Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar together have hundreds of fighter aircraft, though the six-member Gulf Cooperation
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Council (GCC) has next to no experience of coordination. Politically, however,
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fighting with the US would require greater determination than they have yet shown to tackle the jihadis who have sent shockwaves across the region.
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Offers of help — most likely from the Emiratis and Saudis — attest to the gravity of the situation.
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Washington may be cautious given that the Iraqi military
has extensive experience of working with the US but none with the Gulf states.
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The UAE is the most assertive country in the GCC and recently sent jets to Egypt to bomb Islamist targets in Libya.
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But the more reluctant royals in Riyadh may prefer to be told they can make a more useful contribution in counter-extremism messaging,
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bankrolling Iraqi tribes or training Syrian rebels.
Both will be worried about whether they can trust Barack Obama to follow through after hig
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tension over his policy on Iran and his inconsistent approach to
the Syrian war, culminating with his failure to act when his own “red line” was crossed last
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year with Bashar al-Assad’s use of chemical weapons.
Both also fear that crushing the Islamic State will bolster Iran and its allies or proxies
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Baghdad and Damascus and trigger a Sunni backlash. They will
heed the influential Qatar-based Egyptian preacher Yusuf al-Qaradawi, who is often seen as
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a mentor of the Muslim Brotherhood and who criticised Washington’s
role in the campaign against Isis as purely “self-interested”.
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assertive country in the GCC and recently sent jets to Egypt to bomb Islamist targets in Libya. But the more reluctant royals in Riyadh may prefer to be told they can make a more useful
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contribution in counter-extremism messaging, bankrolling Iraqi tribes or training Syrian rebels.
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